Polished-Shallows
0xed1342c363e25fd79256cb13a65f8ba69ce3494d
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-256.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$5.00
$0.15
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?
612 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-178.96
- NO
2025 August third hottest on record?
200 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90ºC and 0.94ºC in August 2025?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95ºC and 0.99ºC in August 2025?
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$4.85Apr 19, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?$25.20Aug 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?$10.50Aug 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?$7.26Aug 19, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?$66.00Aug 19, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 August third hottest on record?$16.86Aug 19, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?$70.00Aug 19, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 August third hottest on record?$35.14Aug 18, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 0.90ºC and 0.94ºC in August 2025?$9.50Aug 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?$0.90Aug 8, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?$0.07Aug 8, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?$3.03Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 0.95ºC and 0.99ºC in August 2025?$11.65Aug 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 0.95ºC and 0.99ºC in August 2025?$0.35Aug 6, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?$0.12Aug 5, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?$0.48Jul 23, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?$0.48Jul 23, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?$8.01May 6, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?$20.00May 6, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?$23.15May 5, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $61.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 13:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.