Gray-Swan
0xed2b6d14328d4a40db4d9fe5dbd0456b371f4897
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-58.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 67°F or below on April 8?
1648 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 8?
1526 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 57°F or below on April 8?
1296 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on April 2?
1074 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 8?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 8?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 9?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 8?$7.67Apr 27, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.60Apr 27, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.70Apr 27, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 8?$1.97Apr 7, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 8?$1.58Apr 7, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 8?$1.44Apr 7, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 8?$4.97Apr 7, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 9?$1.73Apr 7, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 9?$1.73Apr 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 8?$5.00Apr 7, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 8?$5.00Apr 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on April 2?$4.99Apr 7, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 67°F or below on April 8?$5.00Apr 7, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 57°F or below on April 8?$5.00Apr 7, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 67°F or below on April 8?$5.00Apr 7, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 8?$5.00Apr 7, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 57°F or below on April 8?$5.00Apr 7, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 67°F or below on April 8?$5.00Apr 7, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 8?$5.00Apr 7, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 23:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".