Authorized-Spice
0xed4728a4f94f12f6e0764a89155d01a423f49d90
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$264.08
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
668 shares @ 10.5¢·now 10.8¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$72.16
$2.16
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
157 shares @ 31.8¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.35
$-3.65
- YES
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
115 shares @ 26.2¢·now 26.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.54
$0.54
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
451 shares @ 6.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$20.30
$-9.70
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$17.27
$-2.73
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$15.71
$-4.29
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
171 shares @ 29.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.33
$-40.67
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
131 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.17
$-48.82
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
3333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?$51.36Jun 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$50.00Jun 12, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$318.50Jun 12, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$32.81Jun 11, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$94.21Jun 7, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$91.04Jun 7, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$100.00Jun 7, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$100.00Jun 7, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$51.42Jun 6, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$51.23Jun 6, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$20.74Jun 5, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?$25.70Jun 5, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$70.00Jun 5, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$235.65Jun 4, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$172.41May 30, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$41.06May 25, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$30.82May 25, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 9 countries in 2026?$30.00May 25, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$26.40May 23, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $63.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.