Required-Muscatel
0xed7b5823a08f1fe610e7b97ca22af74125055cbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$60.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
813 shares @ 36.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$536.77
$236.77
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
717 shares @ 69.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$533.93
$33.93
- YES
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?
521 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$509.63
$9.63
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
531 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$507.84
$7.84
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
539 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$504.31
$4.32
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
465 shares @ 68.9¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$357.77
$37.77
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
498 shares @ 40.2¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.88
$-43.12
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
55 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.52
$-27.03
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$29.87May 14, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$245.00May 14, 15:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$88.60May 13, 18:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$501.44May 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$501.46May 12, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?$500.82May 12, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$108.33May 2, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$100.00May 1, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.2KApr 22, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1000.00Apr 21, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.0KApr 2, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 31?$121.61Mar 31, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 31?$64.60Mar 31, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$500.00Mar 31, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $319.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 22:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".