Discrete-Contention
0xed88e9b720d94c0e4c3122e773130ab8f4da89ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$33.92
Total PnL
$-29.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$12.00
$6.00
- NO
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$9.52
$3.52
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$6.58
$1.58
- YES
Will England win on 2026-06-10?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.81
$0.81
- YES
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
11 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- SILVA
Araujo vs. Silva
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score$3.05Jun 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw?$4.10Jun 10, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-06-10?$5.02Jun 10, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score$6.07Jun 10, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?$5.04Jun 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score$6.09Jun 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.21Jun 10, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$4.62Jun 10, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$6.98Jun 10, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$8.33Jun 10, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$8.43Jun 10, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.29Jun 10, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$10.36Jun 10, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$12.36Jun 10, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Mar 3, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$4.00Mar 3, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$5.00Mar 3, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$5.00Mar 3, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$5.00Mar 3, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$7.00Mar 3, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $6.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.