Unlined-Necklace
0xedc81b0fafe946a60edbf91f11e2f28365aaa743
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$35.1K
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$4.9K
Win rate
58%
99 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
35000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.0K
$10.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
35000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.0K
$-10.5K
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
130 shares @ 85.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.98
$6.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
23172 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-251.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
21106 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-121.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
18898 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-118.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
16000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-261.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
13678 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-281.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
12083 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-161.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
11939 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-73.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.12Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 99 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
99 closed markets, 58% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 99 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.