Frayed-Nougat
0xede3eb7a4f05b8d8ad1dbb4d2dd6a2a3f30ae3f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$908.81
Total PnL
$-23.46
Realised
$27.46
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?
167 shares @ 72.8¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$159.05
$37.50
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
200 shares @ 58.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.99
$14.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$99.20
$-0.80
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$89.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
56 shares @ 8.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$56.23
$51.67
- NO
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by June 30, 2026?
54 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$53.18
$0.89
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
54 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$52.22
$7.65
- NO
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
100 shares @ 41.5¢·now 43.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.99
$1.50
- YES
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch
60 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$37.80
$-1.80
- YES
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$30.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?$10.00Jun 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$89.00Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$100.01Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$14.85Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$2.00Jun 13, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$6.54Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$11.99Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$41.43Jun 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$4.14Jun 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$43.98Jun 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$7.91Jun 13, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$82.00Jun 13, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$8.50Jun 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$8.10Jun 13, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$500.50Jun 13, 03:20 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.12Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.13Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$200.00Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12?$4.39Jun 12, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $57.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.