Wallet digest

active

Activity score

90/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$115.49

Total PnL

$8.67

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

YES
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
176 shares @ 60.6¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$115.49
$8.67

Recent activity

REDEEMNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$2.8KJun 23, 02:17 UTC
REDEEMExact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?$3.4KJun 23, 02:12 UTC
REDEEMNorway vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5$5.3KJun 23, 02:12 UTC
REDEEMNorway vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5$2.5KJun 23, 02:12 UTC
REDEEMFrance vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5$905.18Jun 23, 01:01 UTC
REDEEMFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5$9.7KJun 23, 00:59 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$29.30Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$206.22Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$8.89Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?$923.92Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?$1.2KJun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?$1.2KJun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$85.07Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$25.17Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$6.28Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$13.32Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$3.53Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$18.32Jun 23, 00:43 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$49.50Jun 23, 00:43 UTC
TRADEBUYNorway to score first vs. Senegal?$203.72Jun 23, 00:43 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$33.1K

Trades

Buy share

32%

Window

May 22, 20:00 UTC → Jun 7, 20:45 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $21.4K

SELLCroatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5$6.6K@100¢Jun 7, 20:45 UTC
SELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.7K@100¢Jun 3, 18:03 UTC
BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.7K@99¢Jun 3, 00:04 UTC
SELLACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5$5.1K@100¢May 22, 19:53 UTC

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100

read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal

block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record

block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$28.0K

3 trades

Buy share

32%

Sample

limited

4 ledger trades

Top market concentration

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

$21.4K · 65% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?65% of recorded volume$21.4K Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.520% of recorded volume$6.6K ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.515% of recorded volume$5.1K

Profile dimensions

Activity70 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk87 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 41
Avg trade size: $594.53
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 22, 17:39 UTC
Last active: Jun 23, 02:17 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 03:36:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data