Far-Flung-Grandchild
0xedf7f2c34970ca2c2f968d9c2d6f28fb9b621db8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$185.10
Total PnL
$94.00
Realised
$56.79
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
232 shares @ 14.5¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$76.55
$42.96
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
359 shares @ 16.7¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$41.86
$-18.14
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
27 shares @ 18.7¢·now 42.9¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$11.47
$6.47
- YES
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
49 shares @ 5.6¢·now 21.2¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$10.46
$7.70
- YES
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?
21 shares @ 5.6¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$5.85
$4.67
- YES
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?
61 shares @ 7.7¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$4.42
$-0.27
- YES
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$3.15
$-6.85
- YES
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?
41 shares @ 1.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jan 15, 2027$2.09
$1.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $12.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.