High-Bronchitis
0xedf9dede507d78091bc650c5c56c0fc130a643ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
102
Open notional
$60.20
Total PnL
$-122.08
Realised
$24.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 21?
13 shares @ 22.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$13.47
$10.47
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.24
$4.24
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
13 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.7¢·now 92.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.58
$-1.42
- YES
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$3.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.48
$0.48
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.15
$1.15
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.88
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on July 21?$1.03Jul 20, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 21?$3.12Jul 20, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 21?$5.21Jul 20, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 21?$1.05Jul 20, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 21?$5.21Jul 20, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 21?$1.04Jul 20, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$1.06Jul 20, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$5.20Jul 20, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.14Jul 20, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$2.00Jul 20, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.17Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$6.25Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.05Jul 19, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?$1.64Jul 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.01Jul 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$2.01Jul 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?$1.04Jul 16, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill General Motors say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?$1.03Jul 16, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill General Motors say "Software" during earnings call?$1.04Jul 16, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Growth" 5+ times during earnings call?$1.04Jul 16, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.