Burdensome-Whack
0xedff774d2e2fdf47c78ab2a0530cfdf7309d8e73
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$131.13
Total PnL
$0.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will BNB dip to $200 in July?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$100.10
$-0.10
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.30
$0.02
- NO
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
3 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
3 shares @ 94.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.64
$0.10
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.11
$-0.00
- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Is Earth flat?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.89
$-0.01
- NO
Trump goes to space in 2026?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?$3.28Jul 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$2.00Jul 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.28Jul 13, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs Earth flat?$1.90Jul 13, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump goes to space in 2026?$1.50Jul 13, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.11Jul 13, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$1.00Jul 13, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $200 in July?$100.21Jul 13, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.95Jul 13, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$2.15Jul 13, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$2.88Jul 13, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB dip to $300 in May?$2.96Jul 13, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$3.50Jul 13, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out by June 30?$7.46Jul 13, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$92.37Jul 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$7.35May 10, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$3.50May 10, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.94May 10, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$2.85May 10, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $300 in May?$2.95May 10, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $15.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 23:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.