Trump goes to space in 2026?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.9pp
24h Vol
$276.18
Liquidity
$58.3K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dResolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5831.1h
Price movement
-0.9pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 100¢0.0
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Politics · Vol $319.0K
- 2¢+0.1
Trump out as President by June 30?
Politics · Vol $212.7K
- 1¢0.0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $197.2K
- 1¢-0.1
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $127.3K
- 1¢0.0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $123.5K
- 1¢0.0
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $114.7K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.