Jaunty-Disgust
0xee213de5ec7ab93c72bcad3c2c76552cb56de2fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$13.54
Total PnL
$-19.8K
Realised
$-768.49
Win rate
35%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.45
$3.75
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?
18 shares @ 43.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.44
$-2.11
- YES
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
435 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-7.67
- NATUS VINCERE
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
6000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- G2 NORD
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs
3103 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- OH MY GOD
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
3071 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.71
- SK GAMING
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
3000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- LYON
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
2009 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-120.54
- VERDANT
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
1965 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-312.16
- JD GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner
1952 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$34.75Jul 26, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Invest" or "Invested" or "Investment" during Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?$12.09Jul 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Invest" or "Invested" or "Investment" during Announcement on the Ratepayer Protection Pledge?$11.70Jul 23, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in Georgia?$9.93Jul 22, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in Georgia?$2.05Jul 22, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in Georgia?$0.14Jul 22, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in Georgia?$0.99Jul 22, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in Georgia?$6.75Jul 21, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in Georgia?$4.10Jul 21, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$9.50Jul 21, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$400.50Jul 19, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$0.12Jul 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$0.78Jul 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$402.29Jul 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$9.21Jul 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$57.82Jul 18, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$63.98Jul 18, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$56.34Jul 18, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$63.03Jul 18, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$21.22Jul 18, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $48.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.