Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Probability
47¢
1h
+0.2pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$21.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5247.2h
- 08:45SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5247h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.1pp
to 50¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 48¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 46¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.1pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).