Aged-Nail
0xee2771d73c36920a8353cc2799b6137350e2c5e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
516000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-516.00
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
213462 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-252.95
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
48802 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-244.01
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
31093 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-93.28
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
440 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
340 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-46.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
242 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.97
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
190 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
150 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$31.30May 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$8.58May 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$43.92May 15, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 15, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$70.39May 15, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$34.60May 15, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$98.22May 15, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$188.23May 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.77May 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 9, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 9, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 9, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 9, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$38.84May 9, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$0.00May 9, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$61.15May 9, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.49May 9, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 9, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.35May 9, 07:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $39.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.