Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-693.62

Realised

$23.25

Win rate

100%

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 90

YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
35119 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-89.76
NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
15520 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$0.00
$-43.55
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1912 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-23.28
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
1107 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on December 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$280.83May 10, 04:07 UTC
TRADEBUYUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$58.51May 5, 04:38 UTC
TRADEBUYUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$29.51May 4, 08:20 UTC
TRADEBUYUFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$29.28May 4, 08:14 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$9.22Mar 15, 08:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.73Mar 15, 08:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 08:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Mar 15, 07:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.45Jan 28, 03:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 03:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 03:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 03:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 03:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 02:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 02:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 05:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 05:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 05:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 05:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 05:28 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry1 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk48 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 47
Avg trade size: $10.11
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 26, 16:16 UTC
Last active: May 10, 04:07 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:43:59 UTC·src:Polymarket Data