Motherly-Submitter
0xee497fa10f5393feaa2721bdcfc9cf704c16a738
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-525.57
Realised
$-97.80
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 17?
279 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.94
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
278 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 26?
276 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 23?
276 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 11?
271 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 17?
270 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 15?
270 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?
268 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 12?
266 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 12?
263 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.89
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 30?$94.52Jul 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 30?$0.14Jul 29, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 30?$91.36Jul 29, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 11?$79.54Jul 11, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 11?$77.55Jul 11, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 7?$2.40Jul 6, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 2?$2.49Jul 2, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$175.17Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 1?$1.69May 31, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$1.32May 28, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$216.70May 26, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$0.34May 25, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$213.98May 25, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?$220.73May 19, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?$218.08May 18, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 18?$1.76May 18, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?$200.48May 11, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?$197.47May 11, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$1.23May 10, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$1.85May 9, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $67.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.