Loyal-Someplace
0xee56469713ab24f49f1177ada62721f291fdbba5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$288.66
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$1.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?
501 shares @ 31.8¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$162.82
$3.35
- OVER
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
126 shares @ 39.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$125.84
$76.07
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
10539 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-84.32
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
8489 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-520.08
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
3124 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-499.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?
1308 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-339.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?
1283 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-243.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?
1212 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-294.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?
715 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-383.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$99.90Jul 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$37.19Jul 15, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$2.10Jul 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$2.10Jul 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$5.38Jul 15, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$2.10Jul 15, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$0.83Jul 15, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 16?$10.31Jul 15, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$50.00Jul 15, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$51.28Jul 15, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$346.17Jul 15, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$3.93Jul 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$10.24Jul 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$10.24Jul 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$10.24Jul 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$10.24Jul 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$10.24Jul 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$313.24Jul 15, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$44.20Jul 15, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$10.40Jul 15, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $45.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.