0xee6712ea09d6a9c86793bb6dde10ea59040e67a6
0xee6712ea09d6a9c86793bb6dde10ea59040e67a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$206.57
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$3.0K
Win rate
76%
155 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?
5236 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$31.42
$15.71
- YES
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
4800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$31.20
$16.80
- YES
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
4175 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$25.05
$-6.09
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
4661 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$23.31
$9.32
- YES
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
8458 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$21.15
$-2.18
- YES
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
4177 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$20.89
$3.56
- YES
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?
5275 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.82
$5.27
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
6020 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.05
$-3.48
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
4369 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.92
$-9.11
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
5583 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.38
$-2.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?$14.40Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?$14.40Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?$0.32Jul 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?$0.26Jul 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?$0.85Jul 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?$0.10Jul 28, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.05Jul 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$6.72Jul 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$5.46Jul 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$5.46Jul 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?$0.06Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?$0.10Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?$0.21Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?$0.03Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.05Jul 28, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$1.68Jul 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.01Jul 28, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$5.00Jul 28, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.00Jul 28, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 155 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
155 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 155 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.