Queasy-Puddle
0xee67f4f549180f564dd5910b1024b8c6729cef38
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
134
Open notional
$49.9K
Total PnL
$-637.7K
Realised
$-4.5K
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 134- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
91222 shares @ 39.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.2K
$-11.4K
- YES
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
30863 shares @ 43.7¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.0K
$-2.5K
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
16044 shares @ 28.7¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.5K
$1.9K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
37493 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.2K
$581.15
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
4588 shares @ 69.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.5K
$-688.26
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8170 shares @ 7.7¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$387.35
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
88449 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$398.02
$-132.67
- YES
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
3229 shares @ 22.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$355.14
$-355.14
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$350.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4781 shares @ 25.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$334.70
$-860.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.44Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.12Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$9.60Jul 24, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.93Jul 24, 04:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.70Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$1.85Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$98.21Jul 19, 21:35 UTC
- YIELD$2.38Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$63.33Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.93Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$5.0KJul 18, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.9KJul 18, 21:20 UTC
- YIELD$2.45Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$54.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 23, 18:00 UTC → Jul 15, 20:35 UTC
- BUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.1K@11¢Jul 15, 20:35 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$6.1K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
$24.4K · 45% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.