Studious-Vault
0xee92d227785b7e65d1f95d584284c252f09f170c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$48.02
Total PnL
$-41.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
155 shares @ 14.2¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.97
$1.97
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
13 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Donald Trump dance on June 24, 2026?
11 shares @ 73.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.09
$-4.82
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
362 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
74 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
14 shares @ 6.9¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.04Jun 23, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.04Jun 23, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.04Jun 23, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.04Jun 23, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.04Jun 23, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Women's Sports" this week?$3.08Jun 23, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darryn Peterson be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.02Jun 22, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$1.00Jun 22, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$4.11Jun 22, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Acuff Jr. be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$1.03Jun 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?$1.04Jun 22, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?$1.03Jun 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$20.00Jun 22, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00Jun 22, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$1.11Jun 22, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.03Jun 22, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.03Jun 22, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jun 22, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jun 22, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 58m?$1.05Jun 22, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 16:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.