Original-Cross
0xee965d7ddbb2dbd7ec602b4690968116f4ee86b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$65.19
Total PnL
$14.34
Realised
$7.05
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- YES
Boro Rangers FC to win the second half?
29 shares @ 2.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$7.35
$6.76
- YES
Marske United FC to win the second half?
27 shares @ 2.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$6.74
$6.20
- YES
Will Florian Lipowitz win the 2026 Renewi Tour?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$6.61
$6.46
- YES
Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores?
59 shares @ 0.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$4.36
$4.36
- YES
Exact Score: Quilmes AC 0 - 3 CA San Telmo?
7 shares @ 2.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.33
$3.19
- YES
Will New Mexico United win on 2026-07-24?
10 shares @ 1.5¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$3.03
$2.88
- YES
Will SV Hemelingen vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?
16 shares @ 34.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.50
$-2.84
- YES
Will MiniMax be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
24 shares @ 0.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.13
$2.05
- YES
Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?
14 shares @ 0.2¢·now 12.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.76
$1.73
- YES
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 29.8¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.49
$1.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?$0.18Aug 11, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?$0.22Aug 11, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?$0.26Aug 11, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 10?$0.00Aug 11, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?$0.04Aug 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?$0.16Aug 11, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11?$0.16Aug 11, 08:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $0.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.