Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores?
Probability
36¢
1h
+3.4pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$83.10
Probability (last 7 days)
+30.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5529h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 71.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5529.0h
- 18:59SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5529h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-5.1pp over the last 24h, now 42¢.
Biggest hourly move: +45.9pp at 06:00 (to 47¢).
Show all 23 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:59 · +40.5pp → 42¢
- 17:00 · +35.0pp → 36¢
- 15:00 · +37.0pp → 38¢
- 14:00 · +32.6pp → 34¢
- 12:00 · +41.6pp → 43¢
- 11:00 · +45.0pp → 46¢
- 09:00 · +38.0pp → 39¢
- 08:00 · +45.5pp → 46¢
- 06:00 · +45.9pp → 47¢
- 05:00 · +42.7pp → 44¢
- 03:00 · +36.4pp → 37¢
- 02:00 · +42.1pp → 43¢
- 00:00 · +43.6pp → 45¢
- 23:00 · +43.6pp → 45¢
- 21:00 · +35.3pp → 36¢
- 20:00 · +43.7pp → 45¢
- 1d ago · +35.9pp → 37¢
- 1d ago · +43.5pp → 45¢
- 1d ago · +33.1pp → 34¢
- 1d ago · +40.0pp → 41¢
- 1d ago · +38.0pp → 39¢
- 1d ago · +41.2pp → 42¢
- 1d ago · +36.4pp → 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Copa Libertadores. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (71.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.