Flowery-Rule
0xeea5ca053723bd713baed18b78f439622a548f4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$589.94
Total PnL
$248.42
Realised
$161.88
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
1000 shares @ 18.9¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$245.00
$56.26
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$122.75
$-4.79
- YES
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
303 shares @ 37.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$119.69
$7.58
- YES
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$102.50
$27.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.69Aug 11, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.00Aug 11, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$23.07Aug 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$4.27Aug 11, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$16.02Aug 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$5.35Aug 11, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$15.89Aug 11, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.