0xeeeb0b5a5abe3135c596855805f3bd3a43e4841a
0xeeeb0b5a5abe3135c596855805f3bd3a43e4841a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$50.46
Total PnL
$0.97
Realised
$-2.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- KAROLINA MUCHOVA
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$19.61
$12.75
- ENGLAND
ODI Series England vs India: England vs India
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- YES
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
20 shares @ 32.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.30
$2.90
- YES
Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?
20 shares @ 42.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$8.91
$0.47
- YES
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.60
$-0.20
- YES
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.35
$0.05
- YES
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.20
$-0.10
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$0.30Jul 20, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series England vs India: England vs India$10.00Jul 19, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$0.40Jul 19, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.66Jul 18, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$0.40Jul 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 16, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 15, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.90Jul 15, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 14, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.06Jul 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by August 31?$6.40Jul 13, 14:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.62Jul 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?$8.44Jul 12, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 12, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.61Jul 12, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 12, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 11, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.