Grounded-Guarantee
0xeeee2247720e4825f2e51f36fe919434f4276554
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$123.26
Total PnL
$-71.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.50
$-32.50
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
439 shares @ 8.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.70
$8.70
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.23
$-31.77
- NO
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?
27 shares @ 94.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.83
$-11.17
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
298 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?$36.29Apr 30, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?$25.06Apr 30, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.00Apr 6, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$80.00Apr 6, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Yemen next?$0.00Apr 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.00Apr 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$0.00Apr 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?$0.00Apr 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$0.00Apr 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?$0.00Apr 6, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$0.00Apr 6, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$35.71Apr 6, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$15.00Jan 10, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Yemen next?$5.00Jan 10, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$25.00Jan 10, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$25.00Jan 10, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$50.00Jan 10, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$200.00Jan 10, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$0.00May 23, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $53.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".