Selfish-Doubling
0xef10807a7e03a33a66d99f432c780481d6af97ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-191.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
13333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 13?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
800 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
300 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 5?
170 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- DOWN
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$41.60Jun 3, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$11.75May 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.25May 14, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?$2.50May 5, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?$2.50May 5, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 5?$5.10May 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?$10.00May 5, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$50.00May 5, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$11.98May 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$0.26May 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$10.00May 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$10.53May 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$0.05May 4, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$0.39May 4, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$0.39May 4, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$0.39May 4, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$0.21May 4, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$5.51May 4, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?$10.00May 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.51Mar 15, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".