Grotesque-Mattress
0xef172820256270606aed99731f77b8547d766583
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-754.89
Realised
$-126.92
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
93 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-34.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4AM ET
86 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-79.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
82 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 16?
72 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?
68 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTria FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.00Feb 4, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?$5.00Feb 4, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?$1.00Feb 4, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken vs. Ducks$11.43Feb 4, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken vs. Ducks$10.73Feb 4, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.00Feb 4, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELL76ers vs. Warriors$12.73Feb 4, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Feb 4, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$12.82Feb 4, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Warriors$10.00Feb 4, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$13.41Feb 4, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$10.00Feb 4, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$19.43Feb 4, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$14.38Feb 4, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$14.38Feb 4, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$14.55Feb 4, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?$14.55Feb 4, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 3?$4.18Feb 3, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?$11.20Feb 2, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 2?$25.00Feb 2, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 04:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".