0xef2f91f75d1878a09ecd42a376d084d3bc808b9c
0xef2f91f75d1878a09ecd42a376d084d3bc808b9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$41.8K
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
11424 shares @ 83.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.6K
$987.81
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
15977 shares @ 61.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.9K
$-980.02
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
15343 shares @ 65.3¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.4K
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
9295 shares @ 60.3¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.8K
$-816.04
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
4654 shares @ 60.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.4K
$-449.81
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
2408 shares @ 65.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.4K
$-167.33
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
1794 shares @ 73.1¢·now 72.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.3K
$-10.21
- YES
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
2844 shares @ 49.2¢·now 40.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$-262.33
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
783 shares @ 89.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$693.18
$-6.82
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
716 shares @ 83.8¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$623.06
$23.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.87Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.88Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.88Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.88Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.87Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.86Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.84Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.84Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.85Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.