Assured-Pricing
0xef38e07301ab57fa1e84f3564a5855a896861730
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$3.19
Total PnL
$-80.61
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.21
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 10?
8528 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?
3236 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.71
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 19?
2198 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 20?
2148 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 10?
2120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 12?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?
1083 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 4?
1082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 8?$2.14Jun 8, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.25Jun 2, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.09Jun 2, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.20Jun 2, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$2.12May 30, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.08May 21, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 21?$2.14May 21, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 12?$2.17May 12, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.34May 6, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.22May 6, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.25May 6, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 3?$2.11May 3, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 22?$2.13Apr 22, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.21Apr 14, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 13?$2.16Apr 13, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.31Apr 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on April 4?$2.16Apr 4, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?$3.20Mar 26, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 18?$1.1KMar 19, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 18?$1.1KMar 18, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $583.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 02:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.