Serious-Kickoff
0xef4bd1dd7c8fd40dbf3d87327c0ec38bda1b2786
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.40
Total PnL
$-38.34
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.43
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 5?
5317 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 19?
2126 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 27?
2095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?
2088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 25?
2082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 21?
2075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 28?
2075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?
1836 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$8.33Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?$8.30May 30, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$8.53May 22, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?$8.50May 21, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?$3.67May 14, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.56May 14, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$8.63May 14, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$8.60May 7, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?$4.18May 1, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 28?$4.15Apr 29, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 27?$4.19Apr 27, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 25?$4.16Apr 26, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 21?$4.15Apr 22, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 13-19?$2.1KApr 20, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$2.1KApr 20, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$2.1KApr 19, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 on April 18?$2.1KApr 19, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 on April 18?$2.1KApr 18, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 18?$2.1KApr 18, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $482.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".