Knobby-Census
0xef5f411175b2bfae5c75930e681d8c75add5537a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$980.97
Total PnL
$92.62
Realised
$6.11
Win rate
64%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
108 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$108.00
$10.21
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
73 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$73.00
$41.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
71 shares @ 67.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$71.00
$23.21
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
61 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$61.00
$31.11
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
58 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$58.00
$40.02
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
55 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$55.00
$9.90
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
42 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$42.00
$13.02
- NO
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
39 shares @ 13.7¢·now 93.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.31
$30.97
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
35 shares @ 76.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$35.00
$8.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
35 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$35.00
$2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$15.98Jan 29, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$15.84Jan 29, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?$8.19Jan 16, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$1.40Jan 16, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.43Jan 16, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$1.20Jan 16, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$11.57Jan 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?$6.63Jan 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$8.90Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$16.02Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$13.35Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$1.98Jan 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$0.90Jan 15, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$8.19Jan 15, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$31.16Jan 15, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.10Jan 15, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.98Jan 15, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.65Jan 15, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$7.04Jan 15, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$8.19Jan 15, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".