Mixed-Forecast
0xef61a2665c4d8e7d70a9c7ff3f27a98f03da94cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$12.71
Total PnL
$-116.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Heritage win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$12.71
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 25?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 February 23-March 1?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on January 14?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
248 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- 76ERS
Cavaliers vs. 76ers
30 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- WILD
Panthers vs. Wild
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.92
- ANDREY RUBLEV
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
16 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.56
- MIAMI MARLINS
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
15 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.19
- PUNJAB KINGS
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians
14 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) finish week of June 8 above $670?$105.31Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of June 8 above $670?$105.00Jun 12, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on May 30?$10.62Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.31Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$80.35Jun 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$80.28May 31, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev$8.68May 31, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2$14.66May 31, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$74.25May 31, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$73.83May 30, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2$8.32May 30, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$81.90May 30, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$82.01May 30, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$82.29May 30, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$81.98May 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on May 30?$10.60May 29, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$92.58May 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?$92.32May 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.30May 28, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 27?$106.64May 28, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $71.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 05:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.