Light-Scam
0xef77179f7fe1afb63d0de811dc593aa69ea38185
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.52
Total PnL
$-32.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.52
$3.52
- YES
Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
540 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?
218 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
64 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- YES
Will India join the Board of Peace?
49 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?
28 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)
23 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.00Apr 13, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$3.03Apr 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?$7.00Apr 1, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?$4.00Apr 1, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$5.08Apr 1, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$6.01Apr 1, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.00Mar 28, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sue Powell by March 31?$5.00Mar 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?$5.00Mar 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.00Mar 28, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.55Mar 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)$5.00Mar 28, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.00Mar 28, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Mar 28, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00Mar 28, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.00Mar 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$6.00Mar 28, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India join the Board of Peace?$2.00Mar 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Mar 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$2.00Mar 28, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 05:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.