Full-Hero
0xef98b5fb69cdc258fca45b82fe173713472d285a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$64.11
Total PnL
$-54.38
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?
42 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$42.00
$13.86
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.51
$0.55
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?
7 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$7.00
$0.18
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.90
$-5.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.70
$-31.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$6.96Jan 27, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?$0.00Jan 26, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?$9.00Jan 26, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?$9.00Jan 26, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$15.00Jan 26, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$7.40Jan 25, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$9.24Jan 25, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$9.38Jan 25, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$5.71Jan 25, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$3.81Jan 25, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?$8.19Dec 30, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$14.37Dec 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?$5.04Dec 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?$6.82Dec 29, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$28.64Dec 1, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$3.36Dec 1, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?$33.00Nov 22, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$4.86Nov 10, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMSolana all time high by June 30?$5.12Nov 10, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high before 2026?$17.46Oct 10, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".