Shadowy-Norm
0xefa430da24dbe0f82f8cb1e7fa38736cd6537910
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$51.38
Total PnL
$-6.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$21.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$6.17
$0.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$5.14
$0.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$1.14
$0.15
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$1.10
$0.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.07Apr 24, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$6.42Apr 24, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$2.00Apr 24, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.52Apr 23, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.42Apr 23, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$6.00Apr 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$6.00Apr 20, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$5.00Apr 20, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$5.00Apr 15, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.00Apr 10, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?$20.00Apr 10, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.01Apr 8, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.16Apr 8, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.73Apr 8, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 02:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".