Fantastic-Refusal
0xefa5ab06e3252dd8f3174b64383252b5c55224a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-84.44
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5681 shares @ 70.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$-91.44
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
2172 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.2K
$5.21
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.06
$2.03
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.93Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.50Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.38Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.47Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.13Jun 5, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$2.2KJun 4, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$2.2KJun 4, 02:56 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.10May 7, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$2.1KMay 2, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$868.09May 2, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.3KMay 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$33.46Apr 19, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$835.78Apr 16, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.1KApr 16, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.64Apr 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$39.50Apr 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.9KApr 16, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.4KApr 3, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$39.75Apr 3, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1?$39.54Apr 2, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $603.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.