Verifiable-Grove
0xefc5604b839e7bf8d7b4047044e45f885e64247c
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$530.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
9441 shares @ 2.6¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$660.84
$410.85
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20714 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$611.07
$176.07
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4861 shares @ 5.1¢·now 10.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$507.96
$257.97
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
345 shares @ 58.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$322.41
$122.41
- NO
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?
1336 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-437.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $757.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.