Klutzy-Studio
0xefc56e06d05fdb3777bd44005290516e80b7df27
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
625 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?
476 shares @ 93.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-443.43
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
300 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
300 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
164 shares @ 69.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-114.90
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?
148 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 14?
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Suns
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$18.13Jun 30, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$35.88Jun 30, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$14.00Jun 30, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$100.00Jun 29, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?$23.85Jun 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$19.46Jun 29, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$79.73Jun 29, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$11.99Jun 25, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$100.00Jun 24, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$8.94Jun 24, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?$18.44Jun 24, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$42.73Jun 24, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$49.99Jun 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$34.32Jun 22, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$49.00Jun 10, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$73.00Apr 9, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?$41.00Apr 7, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$90.00Mar 16, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$99.99Mar 16, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$100.00Mar 8, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $40.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.