Ill-Fated-Oatmeal
0xefc858dd61feaf2694ffb3a33b6a26024ad05efe
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.20
Total PnL
$-12.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.20
$-1.80
- NO
Will Canton launch a token in 2025?
1394 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?
12 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liverpool vs. Wolves end in a draw?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.00Nov 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Nov 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canton launch a token in 2025?$1.01Nov 10, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canton launch a token in 2025?$1.00Nov 9, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.00Nov 9, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Knicks$7.13Nov 9, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opensea launch a token by October 31? $10.00Nov 9, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opensea launch a token by October 31? $8.00Sep 10, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Knicks$4.35May 29, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m?$1.00Feb 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool vs. Wolves end in a draw?$1.00Feb 16, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?$3.20Feb 2, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?$1.00Feb 2, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMRavens vs. Bills$0.00Feb 2, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Raptors$14.89Feb 2, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Raptors$7.00Jan 21, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December?$0.00Jan 19, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Knicks$0.00Jan 19, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ivana Kekin be the next President of Croatia?$0.00Jan 19, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Mavericks$10.94Jan 19, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".