Accomplished-Snowplow
0xefd0b2794dd268450f2e9bc8f75d619382695479
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-170.20
Realised
$0.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
580 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
432 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on April 28?
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
70 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-34.30
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 28?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
40 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on April 28?
38 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
30 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?
29 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.00May 28, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.15May 28, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.30May 28, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.22May 28, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.50May 28, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.91May 28, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$3.87May 28, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$2.88May 28, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$2.46May 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$2.01May 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.14May 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$2.76May 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$2.85May 28, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$3.41May 27, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?$3.51May 27, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6AM ET$2.26May 27, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6AM ET$2.43May 27, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$0.70May 24, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?$0.54May 24, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$0.65May 24, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.