Useless-Squash
0xefe72c50171fcf0eb516a301e62cfe8e4631a709
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$77.74
Total PnL
$-572.96
Realised
$-15.03
Win rate
2%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
311 shares @ 12.6¢·now 14.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.13
$6.99
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
124 shares @ 56.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$31.61
$-38.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 2?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 4?
130 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
86 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 1?
75 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?
63 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?
60 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 4?
59 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$40.85Aug 7, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$20.49Aug 5, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$51.02Jul 30, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$20.77Jul 19, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$100.00Jul 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$86.36Jul 7, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?$16.02Jul 7, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 6?$18.87Jul 7, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 6?$14.08Jul 7, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 6?$25.00Jul 7, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 6?$12.58Jul 6, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?$16.95Jul 6, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 6?$16.28Jul 6, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 6?$10.20Jul 6, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 6?$10.23Jul 6, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 6?$10.19Jul 6, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 6?$10.24Jul 6, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 6?$10.30Jul 6, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?$51.77Jul 6, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 6?$10.14Jul 6, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
64 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $16.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.