Functional-Advertising
0xeff07c97c491e11e6ab7a6f4520e61f8fa5c1210
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$-108.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
88506 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$-87.44
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
20988 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-755.57
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20197 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-605.90
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
16891 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12178 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-718.49
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
8796 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.2K
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
883 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-315.72
- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
826 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-300.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$28.20Jul 29, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.0KJul 29, 03:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$4.3KJul 22, 04:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.82Jul 10, 05:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$734.05Jul 9, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$497.20Jul 9, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$126.35Jul 9, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$323.83Jun 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$324.67Jun 3, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$73.31Jun 3, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$207.97Jun 3, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$300.52Apr 8, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$300.51Apr 8, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$220.65Apr 2, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$212.71Apr 2, 00:41 UTC
- REWARD$1.57Apr 2, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $443.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 21:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.