Envious-Gas
0xeffe6867311a34992851e6d8a1085ad2aa96e771
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.96
Total PnL
$-54.51
Realised
$1.32
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 12?
5368 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.37
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23?
1744 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 29?
1153 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 22?
1133 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 5?
1126 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 16?
1115 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 7?
1101 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 16?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 5?
1098 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?$10.03Aug 19, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 19?$10.00Aug 18, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?$18.04Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?$18.00Aug 6, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$2.30Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.15Jul 31, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 29?$14.63Jul 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 29?$14.60Jul 28, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?$14.04Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 22?$14.00Jul 21, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?$6.41Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $48,000 July 13-19?$6.40Jul 14, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$2.28Jul 8, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.15Jul 3, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.35Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23?$3.49Jun 23, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 11?$2.11Jun 11, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.32Jun 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 2?$2.13Jun 2, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.20May 31, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $385.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.