Decent-Menu
0xf0088b1812348e3aa8d18e505af290b99dc4c1a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$28.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1340 shares @ 76.8¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.0K
$-20.90
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
3607 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-943.69
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
1405 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-674.85
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
979 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-459.77
- 120K
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?
324 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-181.59
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
46 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0KJul 24, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$808.32Jul 24, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$53.15Jul 24, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$41.27Jul 24, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$89.30Jul 24, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$27.49Jul 24, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?$19.40Jul 24, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?$3.85Jul 22, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?$9.94Jul 22, 03:24 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA: LeBron to Sign With Former Team?$3.82Jul 21, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 20, 2026?$3.23Jul 21, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 20, 2026?$3.01Jul 20, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$692.39Jul 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$614.29Jul 20, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1.1KJul 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$172.26Jul 20, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$804.43Jul 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$806.15Jul 19, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$275.57Jul 19, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $245.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.