0xf00e614ded47445cc6a956dca2b0182af587b9b8
0xf00e614ded47445cc6a956dca2b0182af587b9b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-251.63
Realised
$-60.00
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
313 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- TEXAS RANGERS
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
84 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-29.42
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
36 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.78
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
36 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.78
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.83
- OVER
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
27 shares @ 74.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.85
- OVER
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
25 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
25 shares @ 79.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.88
- OVER
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox
18 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$3.86May 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$3.86May 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.65May 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2.67May 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.06May 8, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.00May 7, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.00May 7, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$2.03May 7, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$2.03May 7, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2.00May 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$29.44May 6, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$6.62May 6, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.15May 6, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.14May 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.14May 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00May 4, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00May 4, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$5.00May 4, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$5.00May 4, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 08:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.