Knowledgeable-Dancing
0xf01a9a83421b61197397150090a4f9f06b2b4da8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$43.66
Total PnL
$-172.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.86
$0.66
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.65
$1.25
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.15
$-0.55
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
12 shares @ 81.2¢·now 46.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.75
$-4.25
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.15
$-1.85
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.11
$0.11
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$5.87May 29, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$7.70May 29, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.40May 29, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.00May 23, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00May 23, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 26?$1.11May 23, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.13May 23, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$1.16May 23, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$1.23May 23, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$1.36May 23, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$1.59May 23, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$1.75May 23, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00May 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.02May 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.06May 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.05May 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$1.00May 17, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$1.00May 17, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00May 17, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$1.02May 10, 11:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 17:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".