Polished-Distinction
0xf01d3c32f4426c8c627cd4335a6b621d1ad9ee2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$199.12
Total PnL
$-60.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.65
$2.65
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$10.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.85
$-0.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMSweden to win the second half?$11.36Jun 15, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador to win the second half?$10.20Jun 14, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden to win the second half?$5.08Jun 14, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Team to Take First Corner$8.68Jun 14, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: Total Corners Odd or Even?$5.07Jun 14, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador leading at halftime?$5.11Jun 14, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Team to Take First Corner$5.06Jun 14, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?$5.07Jun 14, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Japan: Team to Take First Corner$0.00Jun 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNetherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$18.84Jun 14, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.12Jun 14, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: Team to Take First Corner$5.08Jun 14, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands leading at halftime?$5.09Jun 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$5.27Jun 14, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 14, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Jun 14, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.03Jun 14, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$10.41Jun 14, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.07Jun 14, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.