Kind-Cesspool
0xf026952209c2e589011dfb54ba6668e13dff20df
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-806.55
Realised
$-1.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-02?
236 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score
124 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02?
111 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-01?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-02?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-25?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?
74 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 22?
69 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 23, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$4.88May 23, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$5.00May 23, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$6.00May 23, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?$17.06May 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-23?$5.10May 23, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$6.10May 23, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?$10.13May 23, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?$1.04May 22, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22?$13.42May 21, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?$5.16May 21, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 22?$3.12May 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 22?$12.47May 21, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5$28.27May 20, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5$15.21May 20, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00May 20, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.07May 20, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00May 20, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.07May 20, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00May 20, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 22:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.