Handmade-Salmon
0xf0559791c11845a008ed43754d2e6edcceabd707
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$11.69
Total PnL
$-56.20
Realised
$-0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$0.22
- NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 27 2026?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.27
$-5.03
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 14?
4240 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-12.72
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 17?
1110 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.66
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16?
1087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?
1076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?
1068 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 12?
1065 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 25?
1065 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 27 2026?$10.30Jul 29, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$10.30Jul 24, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$10.27Jul 18, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$10.27Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$10.24Jul 8, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of June 29 2026?$10.24Jul 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $305 Week of June 29 2026?$10.21Jul 1, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 22 above $120?$10.21Jun 26, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of June 22 above $120?$10.18Jun 21, 05:08 UTC
- REWARD$0.39Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.30Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?$1.1KMay 26, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?$1.1KMay 25, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 21?$2.13May 21, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 12?$2.13May 13, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?$2.14May 6, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on April 26?$2.15Apr 27, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?$2.11Apr 18, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $249.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.